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- Finally, place a $5+ moneyline bet on the Bills vs. Lions game and get $200 back if you pick the winner! (That’s $200 in addition to your winnings)
I could write about this game in forty words by telling you the Bills have the second-best offense statistically in the NFL, scoring 28.1 points per game on average, and that the Lions have the worst defense in the NFL statistically, allowing 28.2.0 points per game on average, but the Lions have been hot so let’s dive into the matchup a little more. The Bills started off the year putting some nice wins together, but they struggled to run the football, and that was a concern to everyone. Luckily, Devin Singletary figured it out because he’s been on fire for the last weeks, and it couldn’t have come at a better time as Buffalo is in an arms race for first in the AFC East. He’s scored three touchdowns over the previous two games, and rookie James Cook should put a rainbow flag in his social media bio because his coming out party against the Browns last week was fun to watch. He totaled 86 yards on the ground on just 11 carries, and against a Lions team that gives up 153.7 rushing yards per game (second worst in the NFL), someone in your fantasy league will pick him up on the waiver wire. But why are we talking about running the football so much? When the Lions give up 110 rushing yards or more, they are 1-5. When the Lions give up less than 110 yards on the ground, their record is 3-1- and the only exception was against the Bears when they won by one point. We already know what Josh Allen can do. Now imagine what he does when his team has established the run. If you want to talk about Josh Allen, I’ll bite. Allen, who was shoveled out of the snow by neighbors last week just so he could make the game (shoutout to Buffalo), is top five in the league in the following categories:
Passing yards (second)
Touchdown passes (third)
PFF grade among quarterbacks (third…also for nerds)
MVP Odds (third)
QB rushing yards (third)
Yards per pass (fifth)
…and the list could go on and on.
There’s no tradition like watching the Lions play on Thanksgiving, but do they have a chance to win this game? Probably not, but let’s give some more evidence as to why. The one problem the Lions don’t have is scoring the football. At 25.0 points per game, the Lions have one of the best-scoring offenses in the NFL. Behind an offensive line that gives him enough time to watch The Irishman, Jared Goff is having the best season of his NFL career. His connection with Amon-Ra St. Brown has been a fun one to watch, as Goff has more throws of 20 yards or more this season than Geno Smith, Justin Herbert, Kirk Cousins, Matthew Stafford, and Tua. Nobody can blame the losses on Goff, but they can thank him and NFL touchdown leader Jamaal Williams for the wins. As good of a passing defense as the Bills have, the injuries of LB Tremaine Edmunds and DE Greg Rousseau make it likely the Lions will hit the 30-point mark for the third straight game. This game will be a shootout, and the Bills have better weapons. Vegas likes Buffalo –9.5, and the Bills will cover in a very high-scoring game. Bills Moneyline? Next question. Take the Bills moneyline and get your free $200 from Draftkings!