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The Sunday slate: storylines to watch
The early window is stacked with AFC North hostility (Steelers–Ravens) and a huge Bengals–Bills game that could have real playoff seeding juice. The late window ends with Texans–Chiefs under the lights—usually the kind of spot where Kansas City turns every mistake into points.
Predictions
Early window
- Bengals @ Bills — Pick: Bills
Buffalo at home in a high-leverage, QB-driven matchup is usually a lean Bills spot. - Steelers @ Ravens — Pick: Ravens
Rock-fight vibes. I’ll take Baltimore at home to win a close one with defense + situational football. - Seahawks @ Falcons — Pick: Seahawks
Seattle’s ability to create explosive plays gives them the edge in what could be a swingy game. - Titans @ Browns — Pick: Browns
Cleveland at home + a defense-first script feels like the cleaner path. - Dolphins @ Jets — Pick: Dolphins
Miami’s speed stresses defenses; if this turns into a “who can score first” game, I prefer the Dolphins. - Saints @ Buccaneers — Pick: Buccaneers
Tight divisional matchup, but Tampa at home gets the nod—especially if it’s a lower-scoring grind. - Colts @ Jaguars — Pick: Jaguars
Jacksonville at home in an AFC South game: I’ll lean Jags by a one-score margin. - Commanders @ Vikings — Pick: Vikings
Minnesota at home, and I trust their ability to generate points more consistently.
Afternoon window
- Broncos @ Raiders — Pick: Raiders
Rivalry game in Vegas: I’ll take the home team to steal it late. - Bears @ Packers — Pick: Packers
Hard to fade Green Bay at Lambeau in December—Packers control the game. - Rams @ Cardinals — Pick: Rams
I like the Rams’ ability to win through the air and finish drives.
Sunday night
Texans @ Chiefs — Pick: Chiefs
KC at home in prime time: Chiefs, with the usual “one big swing + late stop” formula.
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