Yes, the title is true; we legally cannot lie to you. Big Casinos are trying to swallow each other whole, and until that happens, we all get a little bit of money in our pockets.
Claim your offer using PointsBet:
- Sign up for PointsBet by clicking here
- Select your state.
- Deposit $20 or more into your account
- Finally, place a $20 on any spread, Moneyline, or total on this game and get $150 back… win or lose.
Michigan State opened this game as a (+3.5) dog but with the announcement that Pitt quarterback Kenny Pickett was not playing, that number moved in the other direction with the Spartans now laying (-2.5). Hopefully you got your play in with the points, but if not, there is still plenty of smart money coming in on State.
That is not to say Michigan State will run away with this one as it will be without standout back, Kenneth Walker III, but conventional wisdom would say that subbing in a running back is much easier to replace than a Heisman finalist at quarterback. That turns a lot of eyes over to Jordan Simmons — who did average 4.7 yards per carry as a backup — to replace what was lost with Walker deciding to prepare for the NFL Draft.
Additionally, the Panthers pass defense did get eaten up plenty in the air-heavy ACC, which could make it a nice day for Payton Thorne. The quarterback tallied nearly 3,000 yards this season with 24 TDs but an alarming 9 INTs. The Panthers gave up nearly 260 yards per game in the air and that is unlikely to change here.
Where this game is to be won is by who is going to play it more clean. Michigan State was 112th in all of college football by giving up 66 yards per game in penalties. Stunningly, Pittsburgh was worse.
Ultimately, it is going to be easier for Michigan State to overcome the loss of Walker than it will be for Pitt to go in without Pickett — as the line shift indicates — and if State can play like it did early this year it should cover.