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Statistically, these teams shouldn’t even be mentioned in the same breath. The Eagles have the best record in the NFL, an MVP quarterback, and they rank top five in the following categories:
Points per game (#2)
Yards per game (#3)
Red Zone scoring rate (#2)
Third down conversion rate (#4)
Fourth down conversion rate (#2)
Opponent yards per play (#1)
Opponent passing yards per game (#1)
Takeaways per game (#1)
Sack rate (#2)
…the Giants rank in the top ten in only one of those categories. Unbeaten away from home (5-0), the NFC leading Eagles look to keep their momentum going after a statement win last weekend against the Titans. In the victory, Jalen Hurts became the first player in franchise history to throw for 350 yards, throwing for three touchdowns, and rush for a touchdown in a game. Every week, it’s something new with him. Hurts knew how much the game against the Titans meant to AJ Brown, and the duo connected better than two white women with a common enemy. The pair hooked up for two touchdowns — one for 40 and one for 29 yards in the win. Against a Giants team that’s at the bottom half of the NFL in passing defense, expect Jalen Hurts to build on his MVP campaign. Adoree Jackson, the Giants’ best corner, has missed the last two games with a sprained MCL. Starting safety Xavier McKinney, who injured his hand during the Giants’ bye week, has missed the previous four games. Add this to the fact that New York has had a problem all season getting pressure on opposing quarterbacks, and it will be a lovely weekend for DeVonta Smith and AJ Brown fantasy owners. The thought of Jalen Hurts having enough time in the pocket to watch The Irishman should be horrifying to Brian Daboll.
As much as we should expect the Eagles’ air-raid attack to thrive, the bigger gap in talent is between Philadelphia’s defense and the Giants’ offense. Much like the Columbian girl I brought home once and swiftly underwhelmed, New York would probably do the James Bradberry offseason over again if they had a chance. James Bradberry has been targeted 72 times this season, with opposing QBs completing 32 of them, a dismal 44.4% completion rate. The longest gain the former New York Giants Pro Bowl selection has allowed is 34 yards, and the passer rating for those throwing Bradberry’s way is 43.2. On the other side, Darius Slay, regarded as one of the top five players at the position, has great numbers himself, allowing 27 completions on 53 targets (50.9%) with a long of 42 and a 53.2 passer rating. To put that in perspective, the worst overall passer rating among the top-25 passers is Houston’s Davis Mills at 78.1, nearly 25 points higher than what Slay allows and almost 35 better than what Bradberry has accomplished. Against a Giants offense missing most of their starting receivers… that’s a huge problem.
The one thing New York has going for them is that Philadelphia isn’t too great at defending the run. They may have shut down Derrick Henry last week, but they are at the bottom half of the NFL in run defense. When Daniel Jones is taking off with the football, New York can drive the ball downfield using RPOs. Brian Daboll has used the run all year, which is why the Giants average 149.7 rushing yards per game- good for sixth in the league. If the Giants can establish the run, they can be upset. Plus, it’s the Giants…upsetting is kind of what they do. Vegas likes the Eagles -7, but this Giants team could stick around and make this one more competitive than people expect. Take the Eagles’ Moneyline, with the Giants to cover. Eagles’ Moneyline AT HOME is the best way to double your money so you can get your Mom something nice for Christmas. Take the Eagles Moneyline and get your free $150 from DraftKings!