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Ortiz Jr. vs. Lubin: High Stakes at Super Welterweight

Tonight, at the Dickies Arena in Fort Worth, Texas, Vergil Ortiz Jr. (23-0, 21 KOs) risks his unbeaten record and his interim WBC super-welterweight title against long-time contender Erickson Lubin (27-2, 19 KOs).

How Both Fighters Are Performing

Ortiz Jr. has built his reputation on relentless pressure and knockout power. His last two fights saw him go the distance, showing he can adapt when the early stoppage doesn’t come.
Lubin comes in as a seasoned southpaw with a mix of technical boxing and power. After an earlier title-shot loss, he’s refocused and motivated in what he calls a “now or never” scenario.

Key Factors in the Fight

Ortiz’s pace & pressure: He’ll look to bang the body, force Lubin to fight on his terms and avoid allowing time for the southpaw to pick his spots.
Lubin’s angle & counter-punching: If Lubin can use his reach, movement and left hand to keep Ortiz off balance, he might slow the momentum and force a more tactical fight.
Endurance & adjustment: Ortiz has shown he can last when challenged; Lubin needs to weather the early storm if he wants to take over mid-rounds or late.

Prediction

Ortiz Jr. remains the favorite here — his combination of youth, power and momentum gives him the edge. But Lubin is dangerous, and if he starts sharp and keeps his composure, an upset is possible. My lean: Ortiz Jr. via stoppage in rounds 7–9, unless Lubin is able to execute a flawless game plan.

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