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Bonfim vs. Brown: Welterweight Spotlight in Vegas

Tonight, at the UFC APEX in Las Vegas, Bonfim and Brown square off in a pivotal welterweight clash (5 rounds) that could determine who takes a major step toward the division’s top-15. The event streams live on ESPN+ (prelims at 4 p.m. ET, main card at 7 p.m. ET).

How Both Fighters Are Performing

Gabriel Bonfim (18-1) — The Brazilian rising star is on a roll, fresh off wins over former challengers and riding momentum into the main event. Known for his physicality, solid striking fundamentals and finishing instincts, Bonfim is eager to prove he belongs in the upper echelon of the welterweight division.

Randy Brown (20-6) — The veteran contender brings experience, toughness and a respectable streak of wins into this bout. Brown has been battle-tested, and this matchup gives him a chance to finally make a statement and break into the top 10 if he can upset tonight.

Key Matchup Elements

Pressure vs. Experience: Bonfim will likely try to impose his pace, push forward and dictate range. Brown will aim to weather the storm, use his experience, and look for openings when Bonfim overextends.
Striking and Finishes: Bonfim’s finishing rate and recent knockout wins suggest he’ll seek an early stoppage. Brown has shown he can finish too, so this is a very danger-rich fight for both.
Momentum on the Line: A win for Bonfim pushes him firmly toward contender status; a win for Brown re-asserts him in the mix and revitalizes his trajectory.

Prediction

Given the styles and recent form, I lean toward Bonfim via finish — likely a KO or submission in the middle rounds (R3-R4). Brown is dangerous, but the momentum and skill edge appear to favor Bonfim tonight.

Predicted result: Bonfim wins by stoppage (KO/TKO or submission)
Estimated score if it goes full: Bonfim 49-46 on judges’ cards

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