In 99% of cases, bookmaker players start with bets on favorites. At first glance, why bother when you can bet on Barcelona, Bayern, Real, Juventus, Manchester City and other giants of European football and take off the tops. But in practice, not everything is as smooth as on paper.
Why you should bet against the favorites
Betting against the favorites is beneficial for several reasons, on which the strategy of betting on outsiders is actually based. Let's talk about them in more detail, but for now I would like to remind you that the highest odds for outsiders are available on the Mostbet website, where you can follow the link mostbet-az.info
The first reason is inflated odds on underdogs
It is generally accepted that bookmakers, when forming a line, evaluate the chances of teams and set quotes in accordance with the probability of a particular outcome. But in fact, it is important for analysts of bookmakers not so much to correctly set the odds that reflect the chances of teams, but to predict what the majority of the betting public will bet on.
With this approach, bookmakers reduce their risks and receive guaranteed profits through margin. Since the majority will bet on the favorite, they underestimate the odds on the strong team and, accordingly, increase the quote on the underdog in order to maintain balance. It turns out that if the probability of Real's victory corresponds to a coefficient of 1.25, then they give 1.12 in bookmaker, realizing that Real will be loaded and, most likely, Madrid will win.
The second reason is the flow of bets on favorites
Few understand that the odds offered by bookmakers on favorites are unprofitable. Players are not embarrassed by low quotes, and they still bet on the giants, even at odds of 1.08 or 1.05, often choosing negative odds. After a large stream of bets on the favorites, the bookmakers have no choice but to further reduce the odds on the eminent team and at the same time increase the odds on the underdog.
The third reason is match-fixing
As you know, the easiest way to make money on agreements is to organize the victory of an outsider over a favorite. And there are plenty of such cases today.
Examples of strategy for playing against favorites
There are many options for playing the strategy of betting on outsiders. The most radical is to bet on underdog wins. This approach attracts with very high odds, but it is quite risky, because you will rarely win even if you have very good knowledge of the sport. However, if you have patience, you can achieve good results by catching up by betting on underdogs.
Less risky are the bets in bookmakers on not losing outsiders, that is, X2, and with excessively high odds on the favorite - a handicap plus one for a weak team.
However, the best option for playing against the favorites is the strategy of betting on the outsider's goal. If you analyze the latest matches of the top tournaments, you will see that the favorites often concede, and sometimes even several goals. Underdogs give very good odds on goals, and you can build your gaming philosophy on this.
